What Does Charts Tell You? Correction or Breakout

by Shabbir Bhimani on August 2, 2010

If we look at the above Nifty chart for last one year we see a clear and definite pattern. Nifty after the gap of 3 months corrects 7-8%. The dips were on

  1. Nov 3, 2009
  2. Feb 15, 2010
  3. May 25, 2010

So now my question is

Do you agree that Anyone selling you insurance policies is actually not selling you an insurance policy but they are selling you the worst investment product ever?

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I myself do see a correction and so August will be the month when I offload my portfolio and remain cash heavy (close to 50% in cash).

You do not need to agree on my views because when I discussed the same with my friend he totally disagreed and has contrasting views on the above chart. He told me that this time as we are more in a tight range for last 6 months and there is no bad news expected in results season and so the market should break out on the higher side.

Which opinion do you support? Share your thoughts in comments below.

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{ 8 comments… read them below or add one }

lala August 5, 2010 at 8:48 pm

Hi,
Thanks for your informative articles. I really like your blog. I am a new investor who recently bought a few shares of ITC before its ex-bonus date.

Can you please tell me when I will get the bonus shares in my demat account.

Thanks

PS: I know this is not a comment relevant to the above post. But I didn’t see an email id to contact you. I hope you don’t mind me posting this query here.

Reply

Shabbir Bhimani August 5, 2010 at 10:52 pm

Lala, No I do not mind. Now coming to your question there will be 2 dates which will be important to you. One is the registration date when the split was done and if you hold the shares on that day expect the fresh shares to get into your account in couple of weeks time.

Reply

lala August 6, 2010 at 3:11 pm

Thanks Shabbir. So I guess I will have to wait 2-3 weeks to get the ITC shares.

Just a doubt – Is the share broker (depository participant) involved in any way in transferring the shares to the demat account or is it done automatically by the depositories (CDSL/NSDL)?

Reply

Shabbir Bhimani August 7, 2010 at 10:19 am

Broker but not your broker the broker from the ITC end.

Reply

lalit August 7, 2010 at 12:21 pm

Nifty is trading in tight range, Support of down side is 5400 and very good resistance on the upper side is 5600. Looks like market may remain in this range.

Reply

stock October 30, 2010 at 9:39 pm

Angel Broking: Open demat account for online investment and stock trading in stock market. Live stock price of stock/share in Indian stock market

Reply

deepakgajra August 29, 2011 at 11:32 am

hi sir,
would u got the membership in intelligent-investor-forum@googlegroups.com????

txxxxxxxxxxxx

regd,

deepakgajra

Reply

Shabbir Bhimani August 29, 2011 at 11:48 am

I am already a member of that group Deepak.

Reply

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