On TV if you see many analyst suggest Stop Loss and Resistance price and I got an email from a blog member Srinivas where he asked.
… I would like to know how to calculate the stop loss and Target price of any stock. I have seen in TV, analyst are telling buy XYZ stock on X rate, Stop loss is Y, n Target is Z.
Is there any calculation behind these?
There is definite calculation behind it but its not mathematical calculation but its based on charts and patterns.
Say the Stock XYZ is currently priced at 100. Now the stop loss for the stock would be something less than 100 where the Stock XYZ traded in large volumes and spent some time before coming to 100. Say when the stock was between 82 to 88 it spent 10 trading sessions and was trading on averagely good volume and then broke out and so the stop would be anything between 82 and 88.
Now the target for the price would be based on more previous history as to how much in percentage terms it moves each time it breaks out and so if it broke out of 90 and history shows it moves 20% previously when it broke out of range before hitting resistance then it would be 108 ( 90 + 20% of 90 ) the target for the stock.
Now lets take a real time example.
DISH TV is in a range of 42 – 48 for quite some time. So once it crosses 50 it should hit 57 easily because 57 is point from where it fell off previously indicating resistance.
Again If we take the example of Nifty you would see that it is not able to cross 4700 currently and it is spending time between 4500 and 4600 and so once there is a substantial breakout above 4700 and remains above it for some trading session then the stop loss would be anything between 4600 and 4500.
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{ 39 comments… read them below or add one }
DEAR SHABBIR ,
GD EVNG
I AM A RETISIRED ENG
I KNOW FEW THINGS ABOUT SHARE MARKET/TRADING
I WANT TO BUILD A LONG TERM FOLIO , WHICH WILL GIVE ME ATLEAST 15 TO 20 % RETURNS
I DEFINITELY DON’T WANT TO ENTER INTRA DAY TRADING
I KNOW VERY LITTLE ABOUT TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
HOW YR BOOK WILL HELP ME TO ACHIEVE MY GOALS
WAITING FOR YR REPLY
DHAMANGAONKAR
Technical analysis does not work well for investment of 3+years and so I am not sure my ebook can help you invest in stocks if you have very long term investment horizon but for investments ranging in 1 to 2 years, you can apply the price action technicals.
hi,
i am new to this business and needs to understand the technical analysis. Pleas recommend some good book. Also i would like to understand the option index (call/put).
Please do the needful.
Sanjeev
Sanjeev, for books check out http://shabbir.in/technical-analysis-books/ . Apart from those I will also recommend my ebook on technical analysis.
For Call option / Put Option See my article http://shabbir.in/call-and-put-options/
I HOLD JINDAL SOUTH WEST HOLDING IN ONG TRAM BUY PRISE 1034 GIVE HOW DID?
HOLD SELL
Vinod, I will suggest you find those information all by yourself and still I will give you some information on your stock. Hold if it does not crack 700 decisively and if it break out above 800 should be a good buy.
Now about the purchase price I think you have purchased once the spike was over and so make sure you don’t purchase after the spike but in the spike or before the spike by understanding the breakouts.
Looking at the volume pattern I think this was a play by someone and as I don’t track I may not be able to say more on that play but volume patterns suggests it was a play and you have to play it rightly.
Hi Shabbir,
Can you suggest any software or website to get technical chart in realtime ?
Thanks..
Naveen
Naveen, your broker’s should provide that software and I use them.
sir,i had taken 200tatamotors at 983.should i hold it or book loss.please help me.
Manoj, I don’t like commenting on stock specifics and ideally would like to teach you how you yourself can find stock support and resistance. See my latest post here or even my book on Technical Analysis
sir i want to know how to learn traing can you recommend me from where i can learn and practise trading and how to use its indicators and from where i should learn trading and become proffesinal..please recommend me any book or course to learn trading
Rizwan, I will recommend my book here
I have read your article about Moving average charts. However, I would like to know how to calculate PIVOT POINT of a stock without drawing Moving average charts.
Regards
Hi,
Do you know how to calculate Pivot point of a stock? How does pivot point helps.
Waiting for your reply.
Regards,
Salm
Check http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pivot_point
When doing analysis normally we use the charting software to do the calculation. Also I will suggest you to look at my book about Chart Patterns
Dear Sir,
I am into research analysis.
can u suggest me some good book on technical analysis.
Regards,
Rajiv
9999668687
Yes I will suggest my book.
Respected Sir,
I want to know about the the term buy.stoploss,target with an examples
Regards
Suhail Arfi
Suhail, I will suggest you to start with my free ebook for investment in mutual funds and then for share market I will suggest you my book on Chart Patterns
Respected Sir,
I am new here in stock market and want to know all about it so that i can also invest my money.could you suggest me where i invest at earlier stage?
Regards
Suhail Arfi
Hello Shabir,
How is TATA steel look at this current price? Its price looks very attractive at P/E of about 8. What is your call on this stock? Currently trading at 605.4 after a steep correction.
Please suggest. Any other good stock can you suggest now after a deep correction? My investment horizon is 3 months.
I don’t like to suggest stocks but yes Tata Steel Looks OK to me.
Thanks a lot karthik, many beginners like me must have been enlightened by your above simple explaination. per your advise i went to nseguide.com and nsetipzin and tried to follow what you said. Now i ahave a basic question, can stop loss be greater than target? and in what scinario? when i checked some stoks have stop loss greater than target and some have less.
Sir,
i hold some Maruthi shares purchased at Rs 1247 per share. At what price should I sell it?
What is your time horizon because it is one of those stocks which should not be sold unless you need some kind of money.
Sir,
i hold some Maruthi shares purchased at Rs 1247 per share. Ar what price should I sell it?
As per this discussion thread, you had commented that Dish TV is a tad bit expensive at 42 levels. It is at 39 now. Any levels at which you would suggest me to enter this counter ??
Start accumulating close to 40 or even under 40 but make them in small tranches.
Thanks .. bought C&K today.
Do share with us your % of profit if you make any.
Thanks for your opinion. And any specific equity/equities would you like to name …
Apart from Dish TV, Cox and Kings is the new one I like. Also to an extent Opto Circuit
Thanks Shabbir. That Dish TV question was a specific one (primarily becoz u said that it was one of your favorite stock) .. let me ask you a general question .. i want to invest some amount in equities now. Markets have corrected about 7-8% from its high. Is it a good time to buy .. or shall i wait & watch ?? Would you like to suggest buying any specific equities at this point of time that you think have corrected quite a bit and a ready to bounce once the markets turn northwards.
Subal, Wait will never be over and so its time to act now but not very aggresively
Hi Shabbir,
Would it make sense to buy Dish TV at this level (~42) for short term (2-3 months) ??
Subal
At 42 it is a bit expensive but if it holds that level for some time should not be a bad option.
Hi,
I am sorry, the another site which I check got missed out while typing.
That is http://nse.tipzin.com/
I always compare these two above urls for entry price level for that stock.
Most of the time, it works out.
With Regards,
Karthik Siddhun
Thanks buddy, your help will help me very much in future.
Hi,
While this is a very good explanation in simple terms, as a end-user and a day trader, he looks at immediately one scrip’s stock price movements expected on that day.
During that given point of time, the particular single company’s stock price value is predicted with its Resistance Levels / Entry Levels / Supports Levels based on the previous close, L/H/O prices.
I always have a quick check with two sites regular basis, in many occasions, they match each other.
http://nseguide.com
And then, I organize myself, to enter at its pivot price point.
Due to curiosity, I learned the calculation on how to measure and find out these price levels. That is also handy and works out at many circumstance.
This is the way, I am doing it. I don’t know any other methods exist or not.
Regards,
Karthik Siddhun